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Yep. I would not disagree.Honestly, in this day of social media, hyperbole, and viral clickbait, I don't even think the NWS New Orleans 2005 Katrina verbiage would have much of an effect anymore. Beyond extreme and irresponsible language being used, most people nowadays will just shrug. Hopefully I'm wrong, but I think the public is desensitized largely.
"This tornado warning is an extinction-level event. If you are higher than 30 feet below ground, you will unalive yourself. Concrete steel-reinforced structures will be reduced to atoms.""THIS IS CRAZY (NOT CLICKBAIT, WEDGES)"
-Average YouTube video title, accompanied by a neon-colored thumbnail with zero context.
I'm super curious how this will evolve moving eastward. The models are less useful now. It's really a wait-and-see thing.I've been really fascinated by the structure on the mesos on this MCS. Large, sweeping vortexes visible on velocity with tiny couplets located within them. Like vortex-ception.
View attachment 25299
Live feed of New Orleans showing substantial street flooding already in the French Quarter.
Potentially serious situation unfolding there.
MDT pushed eastwards on the newest update.
A #-10% would probably suffice, though that 45% wind is more than justified.Watch me eat my words in the next hour, but I’m pretty surprised they kept the 15% hatched tornado risk.
Yeah I think it’s clear the main story from this system will be flooding and straight line winds. Things are looking really messy in terms of storm mode though, so I’d say the tornado threat is a different story at this point. Still, there’ll be at least a few more spinups.A #-10% would probably suffice, though that 45% wind is more than justified.
I joke with my son all the time who's a meteorology major - whenever we're under the gun for severe weather: "There's a hundred and twenty percent chance of violent, EF-50 Tornados with embedded running chainsaws within a 50 foot radius of any location in our hatched area.""This tornado warning is an extinction-level event. If you are higher than 30 feet below ground, you will unalive yourself. Concrete steel-reinforced structures will be reduced to atoms."
well the 10 percent is 10-14 while the 15 is 15-29, it can be a significant difference. I would like to see SPC get more dialed in when it comes to a mdt risk of tornadoes. This was Def a mdt risk for winds!Honestly, a 10% or 15% isn't mathematically that much different in most circumstances. 7 tornadoes versus 10 or 11, for instance. It's more of a messaging device than anything.