One of the reasons the helicity is higher is because the surface low is a little further south and slower to move west to east. This is causing winds to back over the eastern half of Alabama.
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Fred and I have been chatting. He brought up 4/10/09 as an analog. Looks like a good match to me. Maybe adjust that a touch westward.
Also up into the Tennessee Valley as well. However with where the position of the low is this looks like an Alabama threat if this were to verifyOne of the reasons the helicity is higher is because the surface low is a little further south and slower to move west to east. This is causing winds to back over the eastern half of Alabama.
The CAMs are bad for AL/TN.ouch
Whats that mean?The CAMs are bad for AL/TN.
ouch
That is little east isn't it? Is that super cells?That looks nastier than last night's WRF.
The CAMs or convective available models are showing more backed surface winds and better convergence along the boundary. Fires off some nasty supercells in West/Central AL and brings them east.Whats that mean?
Gotcha. I see one of them tracking over where I am right now (I know that it can't predict exactly where paths will be, but kinda eerie).The CAMs or convective available models are showing more backed surface winds and better convergence along the boundary. Fires off some nasty supercells in West/Central AL and brings them east.
I was wondering if winston Marion co.involved.The CAMs or convective available models are showing more backed surface winds and better convergence along the boundary. Fires off some nasty supercells in West/Central AL and brings them east.
Fred and I have been chatting. He brought up 4/10/09 as an analog. Looks like a good match to me. Maybe adjust that a touch westward.
that model is showing Dec 16 2000 sounding match for BHM...that was the F4 Tuscaloosa tornado...also I think it is significant that a warm season event is triggering a cool season matchUgh...STP over 6 now.
instead of weakening, the 12nam has the surface low still deepening as it passes to the north. In several ways, this run is an outlier when compared to more recent runs.
New Day 2:SPC has expanded the ENH risk to the MS/AL/TN triple point..