IMO it's been partly a result of the active sub-tropical jet, which tends to suppress moisture and lead to more widespread convection (mitigating instability) in the early season. The blocking in the North Atlantic that we saw in later March also tends to suppress moisture, and was the reason for the slow start in years like 2010.Andy:
Since you do have the advanced credentials and knowledge. Why does the atmosphere or pattern even seem subdued somewhat so far this year on the severe weather aspect? Seems so much underperformance besides one event so far?