- Moderator
- #1,121
We still have May to go through. While April is usually the top tornado producing month, there have some outbreaks in May, such as May 27, 1973.
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We also had a fairly prolific outbreak in 2008 around Mother's Day.We still have May to go through. While April is usually the top tornado producing month, there have some outbreaks in May, such as May 27, 1973.
Yeah, Mid-May most of the time signals the end of big time threats for Dixie proper, and more to the plains. Don’t want to spike the football too early though on this year. We had 3 very active years in a row, this just may be one of those below average years.My thought process is always after may 10, it's over.
2024 Formula:Are we burned out from lackluster events yet?
Because D8-D12 look pretty interesting on the globals.
But I'm not getting my hopes up.
After last year's late spring/summer severe weather bonanza, I'm definitely not writing off any late-season surprises. That said, this has been just generally a pretty weird year.Yeah, Mid-May most of the time signals the end of big time threats for Dixie proper, and more to the plains. Don’t want to spike the football too early though on this year. We had 3 very active years in a row, this just may be one of those below average years.
Absolutely. Don’t want to minimize anything, but the only event that’s really stood out in my mind this year was the March 14th Ohio Surprise. Which came out of nowhere basically.After last year's late spring/summer severe weather bonanza, I'm definitely not writing off any late-season surprises. That said, this has been just generally a pretty weird year.
That's a notch and a half on velocity.This happened June 11 last year. A brief tornado in southern Itawamba County. So I'm definitely not writing anything off
Absolutely. Don’t want to minimize anything, but the only event that’s really stood out in my mind this year was the March 14th Ohio Surprise. Which came out of nowhere basically.
Can’t believe I forgot that one - I didn’t realize the dew point was that low for the long track EF2 either.Don't forget the record-breaking February 8th Wisconsin tornadoes which included a long-track EF2 when the dewpoint was like 47. After that I thought it was gonna be a year of overperformers. So much for that theory.
Can’t believe I forgot that one - I didn’t realize the dew point was that low for the long track EF2 either.
*some* models posted on another board are showing a possible record strong La Niña coming up fall/winter. On par with 73.Could severe weather be saving itself for hurricane season?
Yeah we should have our hands full next spring with the strength of the Niña . Particular following a Nino …. This up coming fall May even big more active*some* models posted on another board are showing a possible record strong La Niña coming up fall/winter. On par with 73.
In all honesty and this may be unpopular, I have felt like the 2024 tornado season was just going to be a sideshow or pregame for some potentially big stuff in 2025. I’ve mentioned his season prediction video ad nauseam, but all of Trey’s analogs for the 2024 season (2010, 1998, and 1973) were all pre-year precursors for some loaded red letter and infamous years.
Very true.Yeah we should have our hands full next spring with the strength of the Niña . Particular following a Nino …. This up coming fall May even big more active
Than usual