majorhurricane1703
Member
We need to keep an eye out in the western Caribbean and Gulf for tropical development between June 17th and the 22nd. I could see something spinning up then.
The deep tropics globally are struggling to produce anything. Current standing wave over Africa/Indian Ocean has been sending some pretty robust waves out (that one you mentioned is one that develops and gets going....Euro has a potent wave in the long-range approaching the Bahamas). While favorable background state favors the Atlantic, we are in peak SAL season and that has kept a lid on the only basin that is currently favored.So does anyone see anything out there? The best I can see, the 7/15/20 12z GFS has a fantasy disorganized mess around 354 hours going through the Bahamas then into Miami.
Wow at that shear map. That’s very low over a very wide area.
Yeah I have bad vibes about this season. Maybe it’s just a feeling in the air.Breaking a record that was set in 2005 seems like an ominous sign, even if the storms we've had so far this year haven't been comparable to the early storms in 2005.