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- #81
Things look rather quiet for us over the next 2 weeks with a potential uptick in activity later in the period.
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Yep. GFS/UKMET want to make Alabama's A-Day in Tuscaloosa interesting. Still a lot of question on how the shortwave ejects, but it looks low amplitude which favors better kinematics....Our next relevant severe weather threat appears to be this upcoming weekend.
Yep. GFS/UKMET want to make Alabama's A-Day in Tuscaloosa interesting. Still a lot of question on how the shortwave ejects, but it looks low amplitude which favors better kinematics....
LOL I got an automated alert for this post for "sounding porn"Meanwhile, let's take a look at some sounding porn. Last night's 00z GFS valid for somewhere in SC OK on Friday evening.
I am strongly considering a chase trip to somewhere near the Quad Cities on Wednesday evening, as well.View attachment 198
It is worth noting that the forecast soundings for both days show excellent low-level directional shear, something which was sorely lacking over much of the target area on April 5. Biggest question mark at this point looks to be capping, with at least some CIN remaining on most NAM or GFS soundings valid for 00z the evening in question.
12z runs continue to advertise a threat into MS/TN and easing into AL later on Saturday. Question will be quality of moisture, but the due westerly 500mb flow indicates a supercellular mode. Still a lot of questions....
The bigger threats may come the following weekend as there is a strong signal from the 27th until the 30th or so. Just keep an eye as the last week in April is often climo favored.
12z runs continue to advertise a threat into MS/TN and easing into AL later on Saturday. Question will be quality of moisture, but the due westerly 500mb flow indicates a supercellular mode. Still a lot of questions....
The bigger threats may come the following weekend as there is a strong signal from the 27th until the 30th or so. Just keep an eye as the last week in April is often climo favored.
I didn't want to hear that since my son has to go to Memphis the last weekend of the month.
Meanwhile, let's take a look at some sounding porn. Last night's 00z GFS valid for somewhere in SC OK on Friday evening.
I am strongly considering a chase trip to somewhere near the Quad Cities on Wednesday evening, as well.View attachment 198
It is worth noting that the forecast soundings for both days show excellent low-level directional shear, something which was sorely lacking over much of the target area on April 5. Biggest question mark at this point looks to be capping, with at least some CIN remaining on most NAM or GFS soundings valid for 00z the evening in question.
12z runs continue to advertise a threat into MS/TN and easing into AL later on Saturday. Question will be quality of moisture, but the due westerly 500mb flow indicates a supercellular mode. Still a lot of questions....
The bigger threats may come the following weekend as there is a strong signal from the 27th until the 30th or so. Just keep an eye as the last week in April is often climo favored.
Goodness gracious that 12z run of the Euro to close out next week....
Strong signal continues.