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Severe Weather Threat - January 8th-9th, 2024

warneagle

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I'd be shocked if they fell apart before hitting land.
I think the best case scenario is that the main line pushes offshore and eats them before they get to land but I'm not sure if that'll happen. They're moving away from the best instability but they've still got 1000-1500 J/kg to work with in a really strongly-sheared environment (400+ m2/s2 ESRH) so yeah no reason they can't keep going for a while.
 

Tennie

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Got some potential circulations that are about to get uncomfortably close to the Tampa Bay TDWR:

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TH2002

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Yikes. Nasty hooks and couplets off the NC coast. Going to cause problems for the Morehead City area if they hold together.
1924-2.png
 

Tennie

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Yikes. Nasty hooks and couplets off the NC coast. Going to cause problems for the Morehead City area if they hold together.

The one due southeast of Southport is wrapped up tight. I'm getting NROT readings of 2.67 from it:

kltx_20240109_2148_NROT_0.5.png
 
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