Clancy
Member
Latest D1 now down to a Slight.
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Severe Weather Threat - Jan 11-12th, 2024
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
Clancy
Member
More favorable params. are being shunted southeastward with time. If there's a tornado threat, it'll primarily be along the coast.
Tanner
Member
Thank goodness for January thermos. I'm glad that the risk has mainly been confined to small hail and winds for the time being.
Equus
Member
The heaviest part of the line here was quite uneventful, a vague shelf cloud then an increase in rainfall rate. Gusty winds but no higher than the gradient winds that have already been blowing. Not extending watches and warnings seems like it'll be a good call in retrospect
- Thread starter
- #365
KevinH
Member
Weak, immature cells at the moment IMO
- Thread starter
- #366
KevinH
Member
From a different radar in E Cntrl AL
wx_guy
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Does this look even remote correct? It looks wrong to me...
Clancy
Member
Sure doesn't seem like it if current conditions are anything to go by. Strongest storms were expected over MS and NW AL, which largely hasn't materialized. Could see some reintensification happening in E/SE GA into the Carolinas depending on destabilization, but that's a question mark for me.
Yeah no chance we see a tornadic storm in the areas I talked about. The instability forecast busted on the HRRR lol. That's a good thing though
Looks like BMX isn't expecting a watch to be issued:
"1/12 1055AM: At this time, we don't anticipate a Watch being issued for Central AL. Based on data from the special balloon release & other mesoscale parameters, conditions just aren't supportive of widespread severe weather. Winds will remain strong outside of storms. #alwx"
"1/12 1055AM: At this time, we don't anticipate a Watch being issued for Central AL. Based on data from the special balloon release & other mesoscale parameters, conditions just aren't supportive of widespread severe weather. Winds will remain strong outside of storms. #alwx"
- Thread starter
- #371
KevinH
Member
WW 10 was cancelled about 15 mins ago
pritchlaw
Member
This is over. Was a bunch of gradient winds and a few minutes of heavy rain in Warrior/Hayden, Alabama. Kids got out of school for this? LOL.
Tanner
Member
I wouldn’t envy anyone in the position of power to cancel schools.
pritchlaw
Member
They love it. They, like all bureaucrats, love they chance to be the show. And it is a win-win bc when it turns out to be ridiculous you just say that you went with the "experts" and you acted "out of an abundance of caution." Nobody has the stones to look objectively at a situation and NOT pull the trigger on alarmism. And our kids are all sitting at home playing Fortnite and laughing.
- Thread starter
- #375
KevinH
Member
I am sure it has to be difficult to accurately make a call like canceling school when the weather can be so unpredictable.. and/or conditional.
It's really unfortunate that the way cancellations are handled these days, especially since these decisions are made in the best interest of the school's liability, not the best interest of the student body at large.
pritchlaw
Member
They make the same call every time. Close em. Teachers love the administrators that give them days off at every chance.
- Thread starter
- #379
KevinH
Member
Are you speaking from experience or….?
Almost as if this setup was severely flawed from the start and shouldn’t have been a large ENH in the first place!
