Svr Wx Event - April 15-17, 2024

[jiharris0220]

Not a met, but I’m fairly certain it’s simply random chance, 2023, 2022, and 2021 were definitely active tornado years. All three had an Ef4 tornado before it even hit April.
2023 was the most active year for tornadoes in summer months since 2019.
So 2024 could be the year where tornado outbreak setups just don’t hit their mark this time around.

 

[Timhsv]

Curious as to the possible Capping element?

As I was mentioning the other day.....

 

[TornadoFan]

HRRR is back to showing storms firing behind the line tomorrow.

 

[TornadoFan17]

First tornado warning associated with this system comes in at 2:03 AM local time.

Kind of weird to see someone observing a tornado this late whenever the rest of the system has "busted".

 

[TornadoFan]

Confirmed tornado near Eureka, KS

 

[Clancy]

It's like 5 A.M. and there's a Dixie-style supercell, with a monster couplet, BWER and TDS near Eureka, KS. What is even 2024.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

It's like 5 A.M. and there's a Dixie-style supercell, with a monster couplet, BWER and TDS near Eureka, KS. What is even 2024.

I have just almost forgotten what a Dixie style super cell looks like …. Does look interesting for sure .

 

[Tanner]

I have just almost forgotten what a Dixie style super cell looks like …. Does look interesting for sure .

Okay, yeah. That is starting to pull together a large mesocyclone. Presentation of the storm overall is getting better too. Heading towards Lawrence KS and points northeast.

 

[Tanner]

Tornado imminent:

 

[jiharris0220]

I’m getting a bad vibe from this one. Not to many times where convergence signatures like that a tornado doesn’t form at least briefly.

 

[Tanner]

ZDR spike on the left image. Indicating that the storm is alive and well for being surface based. This one has the look. Lyndon needs to get to shelter now.

 

[jiharris0220]

Velocity couplet got real tight on the latest scan. Tornado about drop possible in next frame or two.

Edit: It weakened almost immediately. In brand with 2024 though.

 

[Tanner]

Okay. It miraculously weakened because its rfd cut off the circulation. Still might try and recycle to the east though.

 

[Julian]

Looks like it tightened back up near overbrook, KS

 

[jiharris0220]

Unwarned tornado in progress, those always seem to be the one that cause damage.

Edit: now warned, though it’s dissipated, still has a tight couplet.

 

[atrainguy]

I see tomorrow I'm under a slight risk now for severe weather, and a 5% tornado risk. Nothing crazy, but hey, maybe 2024 will continue to troll us and this will end up being the biggest day, lol.

Storm Prediction Center Apr 16, 2024 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

 

[andyhb]

Tornado in progress near the upper low in Nebraska.

 

[warneagle]

Cows don’t seem too bothered by it.

 

[TornadoFan]

That Nebraska storm might drop another one. Some strong rotation near Tarnov.

 

[atrainguy]

BTW, somewhat "old" news, but within the past hour tornado watches have been put in place from Nebraska to Illinois.