I'm not even convinced that Tim Marshall is the problem with the Vilonia survey, either. To blame him absolves the true reason why that survey is a problem: NWS Little Rock.
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emmm...I think the most point I have here were already covered by that new article published in January this year. The main point is a possible seasonal shift due to the change of initiation and inhibition condition.@ColdFront To be clear: I wasn’t implying that @warneagle was ignorant of basic physics, nor was I suggesting that he needed to be “corrected.” My point was that by looking at underlying forces one can make plausible conjectures that do not necessarily need many points of data. For example, I mentioned the point about SST trends and feedback that can be linked to climate change and influence severe weather. Nevertheless, I do prefer the constructive criticism that you made in an earlier post, seasoned by some cautious credit:
Also, I am bringing up these issues here, in a separate thread, so as not to derail all the outbreak-related topics. I though that @pohnpei made some good points here that covered a lot of the ground that I am trying to present as well.