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April 2024 Weather Video of the Month Post your nominations now!
atrainguy
Member
New watch issued.
TornadoFan
Member
Wonder if we’ll see a few quick spin ups as storms run into that boundary.
It is interesting that near Ness City (due north of Dodge City) that it has seemingly stopped progressing SW there. I’d be concerned about storms riding it if any part of it starts to retrograde back north.
It is interesting that near Ness City (due north of Dodge City) that it has seemingly stopped progressing SW there. I’d be concerned about storms riding it if any part of it starts to retrograde back north.
TornadoFan
Member
Colby storm now has tops up to 54,000 feet.
TheSuckZone
Member
CheeselandSkies
Member
Annoyingly far from all the NEXRAD sites (shocker), but the cell SW of Syracuse, KS looks like it might be getting organized. Strong midlevel meso, at least.
TornadoFan
Member
Connor Croff is on a beautiful LP supercell.
jiharris0220
Member
The tornado aspect so far today has fallen flat on its face despite dry line initiation being successful.
Low level jet hasn’t kicked in yet but I don’t think it’s gonna change anything, the LFC is just too elevated.
Despite every parameter being favorable for tornadoes, it simply doesn’t matter if air parcels commit a free accent too high up the atmosphere.
Low level jet hasn’t kicked in yet but I don’t think it’s gonna change anything, the LFC is just too elevated.
Despite every parameter being favorable for tornadoes, it simply doesn’t matter if air parcels commit a free accent too high up the atmosphere.
warneagle
Member
Did the anticyclonic couplet ever produce a confirmed tornado?
Tempestas Tonitrua
Member
Really liked this post over on stormtrack:
Yet another potentially "insane" daytime event that busted. Us "at home" chasers can now take a deep breath. I don't remember another year in over 36 years of chasing that had so many fails. I can only **guess** some drought-related (EML) element is messing with things or forecasting is retrograding.
Although I would contest the “insane” label. This day had the lowest ceiling of the sequence coming up IMO.
Yet another potentially "insane" daytime event that busted. Us "at home" chasers can now take a deep breath. I don't remember another year in over 36 years of chasing that had so many fails. I can only **guess** some drought-related (EML) element is messing with things or forecasting is retrograding.
Although I would contest the “insane” label. This day had the lowest ceiling of the sequence coming up IMO.
Tanner
Member
Certainly confidence is lower than it ever has been for everyone. I took a week off in May to head out west. Guess it’s my stupid decision.
TheSuckZone
Member
Yeah not sure about insane? What was the ceiling today, like maybe a couple strong tornadoes?
Tempestas Tonitrua
Member
Hopefully you get something man.
jiharris0220
Member
The SPC made the right call with the extremely small 10%hatched as yet another “just in case” scenario.
These central plains set ups with their high LFC usually end up being nothing more than a “mothership” outbreak.
That hatched 5% upgrade can’t come soon enough as those would be perfect for these highly conditional scenarios.
These central plains set ups with their high LFC usually end up being nothing more than a “mothership” outbreak.
That hatched 5% upgrade can’t come soon enough as those would be perfect for these highly conditional scenarios.
lake.effect
Member
Personally, I didn't think today had a lot of potential anyway. Since early this week Friday has looked more interesting and of course, we still have Saturday to contend with / be disappointed.
JPWX
Member
I'm here for the comments. Y'all expect way too much.
jiharris0220
Member
Yeah, the red flag today was elevated convection, doesn’t matter how good the kinematics/instability are, if supercells aren’t able to become surfaced based the only thing you’re getting is some land spouts.
That won’t be a failure mode for tomorrow’s threat in Iowa, although a somewhat messy storm mode will.
That won’t be a failure mode for tomorrow’s threat in Iowa, although a somewhat messy storm mode will.
Tempestas Tonitrua
Member
Well, I certainly didn’t think today would do anything. I just thought it was an interesting statement. Guy has been an enthusiast just like us, only for 36 years. And was just stating how “weird” this year has been.I'm here for the comments. Y'all expect way too much.
For real I have no idea what you guys are on about. It was a conditional isolated strong tornado day with a relatively small window for action that downtrended a bit a bit as it approached. No big shocker here, and we’ve still got an extended period of setups with daily tornado threats to get through, so relax.
