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The SD Storm Jan 1st-4th 2014.


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#1 SD

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 11:52 AM

Have at it. I think something potentially huge is coming in this period. Lets just hope we can cash in and it doesnt trend NW. Ill make a better post later.

Edited by SD, 23 December 2013 - 11:52 AM.

"Ill take my bullseye and run with it. You superstitious suckers to the west will be frowning 6 days from now" -Myself Jan 23 2014

#2 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 11:56 AM

View PostSD, on 23 December 2013 - 11:52 AM, said:

Have at it. I think something potentially huge is coming in this period. Lets just hope we can cash in and it doesnt trend NW. Ill make a better post later.

If I know I wouldn't get banned Id curse you out.... I wonder if I can PM curse you lol

Edited by storm5, 23 December 2013 - 12:00 PM.


#3 SD

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 11:57 AM

View Poststorm5, on 23 December 2013 - 11:56 AM, said:

If I know I wouldn't get banned I curse you out.... I wonder if I can PM cure you lol

What are you talking about? This is going to happen.
"Ill take my bullseye and run with it. You superstitious suckers to the west will be frowning 6 days from now" -Myself Jan 23 2014

#4 metwannabe

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 11:58 AM

View PostSD, on 23 December 2013 - 11:52 AM, said:

Have at it. I think something potentially huge is coming in this period. Lets just hope we can cash in and it doesnt trend NW. Ill make a better post later.

I say it trends SE before it starts the trend NW...... suppression has got a be a slight possibility depending on exact placement of the PV
While I can run, I will run;  While I can walk, I will walk; When I can only crawl, I will crawl but by the grace of God I will always be moving forward!

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#5 flurry

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 11:58 AM

This is the one we've been waiting for...Hold a steady course, Admiral :Grinch-icon:

Edited by flurry, 23 December 2013 - 12:02 PM.


#6 SD

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:00 PM

View Postmetwannabe, on 23 December 2013 - 11:58 AM, said:

I say it trends SE before it starts the trend NW...... suppression has got a be a slight possibility depending on exact placement of the PV

Ding. Thats why I feel so certain. Unless the models completely blow the pattern (which is possible) the PV will only allow so much northward wiggle room. Shearing and suppression should be a bigger concern
"Ill take my bullseye and run with it. You superstitious suckers to the west will be frowning 6 days from now" -Myself Jan 23 2014

#7 hartselleweather

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:01 PM

View PostSD, on 23 December 2013 - 11:52 AM, said:

Have at it. I think something potentially huge is coming in this period. Lets just hope we can cash in and it doesnt trend NW. Ill make a better post later.

I believe a lot of us will cash in. We haven't had a threat like this in the past 2-3 years.

#8 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:08 PM

Very worried about our energy getting shredded ....

#9 metwannabe

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:11 PM

View Poststorm5, on 23 December 2013 - 12:08 PM, said:

Very worried about our energy getting shredded ....

Too early to get "very" worried...... be cautiously optimistic at this point :wink:
While I can run, I will run;  While I can walk, I will walk; When I can only crawl, I will crawl but by the grace of God I will always be moving forward!

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#10 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:14 PM

View Postmetwannabe, on 23 December 2013 - 12:11 PM, said:



Too early to get "very" worried...... be cautiously optimistic at this point :wink:/>

Lol very was a negative word....however we have seen big storms show up time and time again only to vanish because of the shred machine

#11 Huntsvegas50

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:17 PM

View PostSD, on 23 December 2013 - 11:52 AM, said:

Have at it. I think something potentially huge is coming in this period. Lets just hope we can cash in and it doesnt trend NW. Ill make a better post later.

Reel this big puppy in Captain!!

#12 bhs1975

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:18 PM

Yeah that pv is beefy

#13 metwannabe

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:18 PM

I know I'm showing my age here but SD is like EF Hutton....... When Shane talks everyone listens.  Lol
While I can run, I will run;  While I can walk, I will walk; When I can only crawl, I will crawl but by the grace of God I will always be moving forward!

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#14 bhs1975

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:20 PM

Suppression is not good for us NC folks



#15 Luvmesomesnow

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:23 PM

I'm a member but I listen and learn mostly.  I love this forum.  Lovemesomesnow!

#16 vegaseagle

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:32 PM

True! lol  Seems like some very cold air on the way. Wonder if the storm will be pushed back a day or two.

#17 SD

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:34 PM

GFS ensemble mean looks suppressed. Ill take that
"Ill take my bullseye and run with it. You superstitious suckers to the west will be frowning 6 days from now" -Myself Jan 23 2014

#18 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:36 PM

View PostSD, on 23 December 2013 - 12:34 PM, said:

GFS ensemble mean looks suppressed. Ill take that

Yeah its way suppressed .... and thats right where we want to be at this point

#19 SD

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:38 PM

View Poststorm5, on 23 December 2013 - 12:36 PM, said:

Yeah its way suppressed .... and thats right where we want to be at this point

You could interpolate a sfc low track from south of nola to near sav then way off of hattaras. Ill take that right now. We arent going to see a bomb 976 sfc low here. 996-1004 is a reasonable expectation and with the models likely not agreeing we wont really see that detail iron out.
"Ill take my bullseye and run with it. You superstitious suckers to the west will be frowning 6 days from now" -Myself Jan 23 2014

#20 metwannabe

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:43 PM

View Poststorm5, on 23 December 2013 - 12:36 PM, said:

Yeah its way suppressed .... and thats right where we want to be at this point

Not to steal one of your lines but I bet there are some sexy ens members today!!
While I can run, I will run;  While I can walk, I will walk; When I can only crawl, I will crawl but by the grace of God I will always be moving forward!

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#21 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:47 PM

View Postmetwannabe, on 23 December 2013 - 12:43 PM, said:



Not to steal one of your lines but I bet there are some sexy ens members today!!

Lol I bet your right....they are rolling in now let's see...

#22 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:54 PM

The GFS clown map is epic....of course it literally screws most of georgia

Tenn, NC, Arkansas , LA and northern miss and Parts of nw Alabama get crushed as Shane already pointed out

Edited by storm5, 23 December 2013 - 12:58 PM.


#23 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:55 PM

Waiting on individual members

#24 RollTide18

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:57 PM

I just had to go 40 miles south of Montgomery during this time, a 2/12/10 Type event would be nice.

#25 hartselleweather

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:59 PM

View PostSD, on 23 December 2013 - 12:34 PM, said:

GFS ensemble mean looks suppressed. Ill take that

Is that something we want at this point ?

#26 metwannabe

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 01:02 PM

View Posthartselleweather, on 23 December 2013 - 12:59 PM, said:

Is that something we want at this point ?

Yes..... simply because most storms trend NW with time due to a variety of reasons, for us in the SE anyways
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#27 Starburst

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 01:10 PM

Maybe I'm missing something but, these members & even the op run have a "fail" for most of SC. and most of GA looking at just h850 temps.

Some of the later panels/members that are slower with the system or second system, whatever try to get us.. but meh.  Tempering my enthusiasm. :p

Talking further at like 250 hr+ it looks more promising for many in SC/NC.

Edited by Starburst, 23 December 2013 - 01:16 PM.

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#28 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 01:19 PM

View PostStarburst, on 23 December 2013 - 01:10 PM, said:

Maybe I'm missing something but, these members & even the op run have a "fail" for most of SC. and most of GA looking at just h850 temps.

Some of the later panels/members that are slower with the system or second system, whatever try to get us.. but meh.  Tempering my enthusiasm. :p/>

Talking further at like 250 hr+ it looks more promising for many in SC/NC.

A few members crush SC

#29 metallicwx366

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 01:20 PM

View Postbhs1975, on 23 December 2013 - 12:20 PM, said:

Suppression is not good for us NC folks
I like suppression.

#30 Starburst

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 01:20 PM

View Poststorm5, on 23 December 2013 - 01:19 PM, said:

A few members crush SC

Not sure what I'm not seeing here.  I'm probably looking at the wrong time frame.  Further on there are many that do but it seems like a diff storm than the thread timing?  Seems there may be multiple threats.
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