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The SD Storm Jan 1st-4th 2014.


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#1 SD

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 11:52 AM

Have at it. I think something potentially huge is coming in this period. Lets just hope we can cash in and it doesnt trend NW. Ill make a better post later.

Edited by SD, 23 December 2013 - 11:52 AM.

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"Ill take my bullseye and run with it. You superstitious suckers to the west will be frowning 6 days from now" -Myself Jan 23 2014

#2 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 11:56 AM

Have at it. I think something potentially huge is coming in this period. Lets just hope we can cash in and it doesnt trend NW. Ill make a better post later.


If I know I wouldn't get banned Id curse you out.... I wonder if I can PM curse you lol

Edited by storm5, 23 December 2013 - 12:00 PM.

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The winter of 2015......Fear the southeast ridge!!!!

#3 SD

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 11:57 AM

If I know I wouldn't get banned I curse you out.... I wonder if I can PM cure you lol


What are you talking about? This is going to happen.
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"Ill take my bullseye and run with it. You superstitious suckers to the west will be frowning 6 days from now" -Myself Jan 23 2014

#4 metwannabe

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 11:58 AM

Have at it. I think something potentially huge is coming in this period. Lets just hope we can cash in and it doesnt trend NW. Ill make a better post later.


I say it trends SE before it starts the trend NW...... suppression has got a be a slight possibility depending on exact placement of the PV
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#5 flurry

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 11:58 AM

This is the one we've been waiting for...Hold a steady course, Admiral :Grinch-icon:

Edited by flurry, 23 December 2013 - 12:02 PM.

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#6 SD

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:00 PM

I say it trends SE before it starts the trend NW...... suppression has got a be a slight possibility depending on exact placement of the PV


Ding. Thats why I feel so certain. Unless the models completely blow the pattern (which is possible) the PV will only allow so much northward wiggle room. Shearing and suppression should be a bigger concern
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"Ill take my bullseye and run with it. You superstitious suckers to the west will be frowning 6 days from now" -Myself Jan 23 2014

#7 hartselleweather

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:01 PM

Have at it. I think something potentially huge is coming in this period. Lets just hope we can cash in and it doesnt trend NW. Ill make a better post later.


I believe a lot of us will cash in. We haven't had a threat like this in the past 2-3 years.
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#8 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:08 PM

Very worried about our energy getting shredded ....
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The winter of 2015......Fear the southeast ridge!!!!

#9 metwannabe

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:11 PM

Very worried about our energy getting shredded ....


Too early to get "very" worried...... be cautiously optimistic at this point :wink:
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#10 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:14 PM

Too early to get "very" worried...... be cautiously optimistic at this point :wink:/>


Lol very was a negative word....however we have seen big storms show up time and time again only to vanish because of the shred machine
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The winter of 2015......Fear the southeast ridge!!!!

#11 Huntsvegas50

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:17 PM

Have at it. I think something potentially huge is coming in this period. Lets just hope we can cash in and it doesnt trend NW. Ill make a better post later.


Reel this big puppy in Captain!!
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#12 bhs1975

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:18 PM

Yeah that pv is beefy
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#13 metwannabe

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:18 PM

I know I'm showing my age here but SD is like EF Hutton....... When Shane talks everyone listens. Lol
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#14 bhs1975

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:20 PM

Suppression is not good for us NC folks


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#15 Luvmesomesnow

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:23 PM

I'm a member but I listen and learn mostly. I love this forum. Lovemesomesnow!
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#16 vegaseagle

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:32 PM

True! lol Seems like some very cold air on the way. Wonder if the storm will be pushed back a day or two.
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#17 SD

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:34 PM

GFS ensemble mean looks suppressed. Ill take that
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"Ill take my bullseye and run with it. You superstitious suckers to the west will be frowning 6 days from now" -Myself Jan 23 2014

#18 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:36 PM

GFS ensemble mean looks suppressed. Ill take that


Yeah its way suppressed .... and thats right where we want to be at this point
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The winter of 2015......Fear the southeast ridge!!!!

#19 SD

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:38 PM

Yeah its way suppressed .... and thats right where we want to be at this point


You could interpolate a sfc low track from south of nola to near sav then way off of hattaras. Ill take that right now. We arent going to see a bomb 976 sfc low here. 996-1004 is a reasonable expectation and with the models likely not agreeing we wont really see that detail iron out.
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"Ill take my bullseye and run with it. You superstitious suckers to the west will be frowning 6 days from now" -Myself Jan 23 2014

#20 metwannabe

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:43 PM

Yeah its way suppressed .... and thats right where we want to be at this point


Not to steal one of your lines but I bet there are some sexy ens members today!!
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#21 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:47 PM

Not to steal one of your lines but I bet there are some sexy ens members today!!


Lol I bet your right....they are rolling in now let's see...
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The winter of 2015......Fear the southeast ridge!!!!

#22 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:54 PM

The GFS clown map is epic....of course it literally screws most of georgia

Tenn, NC, Arkansas , LA and northern miss and Parts of nw Alabama get crushed as Shane already pointed out

Edited by storm5, 23 December 2013 - 12:58 PM.

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The winter of 2015......Fear the southeast ridge!!!!

#23 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:55 PM

Waiting on individual members
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The winter of 2015......Fear the southeast ridge!!!!

#24 RollTide18

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:57 PM

I just had to go 40 miles south of Montgomery during this time, a 2/12/10 Type event would be nice.
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#25 hartselleweather

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 12:59 PM

GFS ensemble mean looks suppressed. Ill take that


Is that something we want at this point ?
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#26 metwannabe

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 01:02 PM

Is that something we want at this point ?


Yes..... simply because most storms trend NW with time due to a variety of reasons, for us in the SE anyways
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#27 Starburst

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 01:10 PM

Maybe I'm missing something but, these members & even the op run have a "fail" for most of SC. and most of GA looking at just h850 temps.

Some of the later panels/members that are slower with the system or second system, whatever try to get us.. but meh. Tempering my enthusiasm. :p

Talking further at like 250 hr+ it looks more promising for many in SC/NC.

Edited by Starburst, 23 December 2013 - 01:16 PM.

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#28 storm5

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 01:19 PM

Maybe I'm missing something but, these members & even the op run have a "fail" for most of SC. and most of GA looking at just h850 temps.

Some of the later panels/members that are slower with the system or second system, whatever try to get us.. but meh. Tempering my enthusiasm. :p/>

Talking further at like 250 hr+ it looks more promising for many in SC/NC.


A few members crush SC
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The winter of 2015......Fear the southeast ridge!!!!

#29 metallicwx366

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 01:20 PM

Suppression is not good for us NC folks

I like suppression.
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#30 Starburst

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Posted 23 December 2013 - 01:20 PM

A few members crush SC


Not sure what I'm not seeing here. I'm probably looking at the wrong time frame. Further on there are many that do but it seems like a diff storm than the thread timing? Seems there may be multiple threats.
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